Pinned: ⛽ OIL SHOCK, FEWER RATE CUTS? Kalshi markets are increasingly pricing in a higher chance of the Fed's next move being a rate hike. Brent crude jumped 7.4% after Trump declared the Iran ceasefire "over," adding to inflation risks and reducing the scope for rate cuts. *Walter Bloomberg (@DeItaone) / Twitter · 07-08 23:51
Pinned: RATE HIKE BETS HOLD FIRM Fed Chair Kevin Warsh declined to say whether the Fed will raise interest rates at its next meeting, stressing policymakers will wait for more data. Meanwhile, market expectations remain elevated, with Kalshi pricing a 68% chance of a Fed rate hike before July 2027 and a 53% chance before the end of 2026. *Walter Bloomberg (@DeItaone) / Twitter · 07-01 22:36